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stock investments for valentines day, good or bad idea?
11-27-2012, 07:00 AM
Post: #1
stock investments for valentines day, good or bad idea?
it might be cutting too close since it's two weeks away, but what do you think about investing into chocolate company's or floral distributers and then pulling out on the 14th or 15th ?
i looked into godiva, cadbury, russell stover, & edible arrangements but couldn't find stocks or symbols for any, i was wondering if they even exist because i couldn't find stock for tumblr or facebook either. i also put some thought into 1800 flowers, and am trying to think of similar company's to look into. but i'd like to hear if anyone thinks this is a good idea in the first place or if it would be a poor investment.
any guidance is appreciated, let me know if you have any more suggestions!
what do you think about investing in 1800 flowers and pulling out after mothers day? or do you think there will be no significant profit as opposed to the company's regular earnings ?

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11-27-2012, 07:09 AM
Post: #2
 
No, it wouldn't be a good idea. When people look at earnings, they compare it to the same time a year ago. So people don't really care if a company's earnings this quarter are going to spike around Valentine's Day; what they want to know is if the company made significantly more money than it did around last Valentine's Day.

If you want to do a swing trade based on current events then consider oil. The Egypt situation and the fact that unrest might move into Jordan and Yemen will cause people to be nervous about the price of oil, causing its price to rise.

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11-27-2012, 07:09 AM
Post: #3
 
I think it is great you are thinking like that, looking for ways to profit, and asking questions.

But I agree it not a good idea. Often you don't really know how much money a company made on a holiday until weeks or a month later, or the end of the quarter.

Even if they think they had great sales you likely won't see a bump. Their costs might have been high or other factors, like a weak or strong dollar changed the numbers. A weaker dollar might increase profits from exports but also increase costs from imports, like buying raw cocoa.

Ideas for trading on a seasonal or holiday basis is difficult because it is same every year so it is already known and factored in.

But don't stop thinking.

Good Luck.
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